> ## Documentation Index
> Fetch the complete documentation index at: https://docs.marketlens.app/llms.txt
> Use this file to discover all available pages before exploring further.

# Futures Markets

> Delivery futures and perpetual futures — leverage, long/short, open interest, basis, funding, index and mark price.

Futures exist so you can trade a **price view** without always buying and holding the physical or spot asset.

What you trade is not a bag of oil or a coin in a wallet — it is a **contract**: a standardized agreement whose value tracks an **underlying** (a commodity, index, crypto pair, etc.). The exchange (or clearing house) defines the contract’s size, tick, margin rules, and how it settles. You buy and sell **contracts** on an order book with the same **limit** and **market** orders as [spot](/spot-markets); the economics of holding them are different.

Two families matter:

1. **Delivery futures** — contracts with an **expiry** (physical or cash settlement against an underlying)
2. **Perpetual futures** — contracts with **no expiry**; continuous exposure, kept near the underlying with **funding** (widely used in crypto; the design is general)

### What is a position?

A **position** is your open commitment in a contract after trades fill:

* **Long** — you bought contracts you have not fully closed; you profit if the contract price rises
* **Short** — you sold contracts you have not fully closed; you profit if the contract price falls

You **open** a position by trading (increasing size). You **close** or reduce it by trading the other way. Until you close, margin is at risk and mark-to-market P\&L moves with the contract price. Spot “I hold 2 BTC” is inventory; futures “I am long 2 contracts” is a **derivative stake**, not ownership of the underlying itself.

## Why delivery futures appeared

Spot is “pay now, get the asset now.” Producers and consumers often needed the opposite timeline: **agree a price today, settle later**.

That started as **forward** deals — for example grain to arrive in Chicago months after harvest, or oil and other commodities delivered on a fixed schedule. Informal forwards were later **standardized** into **exchange-traded futures** (a famous early case: Chicago Board of Trade grain contracts in the mid‑1800s). The idea is the same everywhere: lock a price at moment **A**, take delivery (or cash-settle) at a later date **B**.

## Why perpetual futures exist

Delivery contracts force **rolls** (close the expiring month, open the next). A **perpetual** keeps continuous exposure **without an expiry**.

The modern **perpetual swap** — high leverage, continuous trading, and a **funding** mechanism — was popularized in crypto by **BitMEX** in **2016**. The idea of a non-expiring future has older academic roots (e.g. Shiller, 1992), and earlier experiments existed, but that BitMEX-style design is what most people mean by “perps” today: a powerful hedging tool, and also a default vehicle for **high-leverage speculation**.

In many markets, **dated futures** still dominate (rates, equity indices, commodities on traditional exchanges). In crypto, **perpetuals** usually carry most of the derivatives volume.

## Shared ideas: leverage and open interest

Whether delivery or perpetual:

| Idea                   | Meaning                                                                                                                                |
| ---------------------- | -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- |
| **Leverage**           | Control a larger notional with less margin. Gains and losses on the position scale with notional; liquidation risk rises with leverage |
| **Open interest (OI)** | Total size of **open positions** market-wide (outstanding contract interest)                                                           |
| **Volume**             | Size that **traded** (matched) over a period — every fill counts                                                                       |

**Long / short** vs spot **buy / sell**:

* Spot **buy** / **sell** usually moves **inventory** of the asset
* Futures **long** / **short** changes your **position** in the **contract** — exposure and margin P\&L, not a warehouse of oil or a bag of the underlying

### How a trade changes OI (and volume)

Every trade has two sides. **Volume** always rises by the traded size (both sides are the same match). **OI** only changes when the match **opens** or **closes** positions market-wide — not when risk just transfers from one holder to another.

| Trade (one match)                                  | OI                | Volume            |
| -------------------------------------------------- | ----------------- | ----------------- |
| New **long** + new **short**                       | **+** traded size | **+** traded size |
| Close **long** + close **short**                   | **−** traded size | **+** traded size |
| Close **short** + open **short** (short transfers) | **no change**     | **+** traded size |
| Close **long** + open **long** (long transfers)    | **no change**     | **+** traded size |

So: **volume** measures activity; **OI** measures how much open risk is still out there. High volume with flat OI often means positions are **passing hands**, not growing.

## Linear vs inverse

Futures also differ by **how margin and P\&L are denominated** — especially common language in crypto, but the same design choice exists wherever contracts are coin-margined vs cash-margined.

### Linear (quote-margined)

**Linear** contracts are margined and settled in a **stable quote** currency (often USDT / USD).

* You think in **dollars of P\&L** for a given move in the underlying
* If you are long and price rises by \$1,000, profit scales **roughly linearly** with size × price change (in quote)
* Example product style: **BTCUSDT** perpetual or dated future — margin in USDT, P\&L in USDT

This is the default mental model for most “USDT futures” books.

### Inverse (base- / coin-margined)

**Inverse** contracts are margined and settled in the **underlying asset** itself (e.g. BTC), while the contract is often **quoted in USD**.

* You post **coin** as margin; wins and losses show up as **more or less coin**
* P\&L in coin is **not linear** in price the way USDT P\&L is: the same dollar move changes coin P\&L differently at different price levels (because settlement is tied to the inverse of price)
* Classic crypto example: early **BTCUSD** coin-margined perps (BitMEX-style) — trade a USD notional, settle in BTC

Inverse products let venues and traders stay **in-asset** (no stablecoin balance required) and historically simplified pure-crypto settlement.

### Side by side

|                   | Linear             | Inverse                                |
| ----------------- | ------------------ | -------------------------------------- |
| **Margin**        | Quote (e.g. USDT)  | Base / coin (e.g. BTC)                 |
| **P\&L unit**     | Quote              | Base                                   |
| **P\&L vs price** | \~Linear in quote  | Nonlinear in coin (inverse of price)   |
| **Typical name**  | BTCUSDT, ETHUSDT   | BTCUSD (coin-margined), ETHUSD         |
| **Why use it**    | Simple dollar P\&L | Stay in the asset; no quote stablecoin |

Both linear and inverse can be **perpetual** or **delivery**. “Linear vs inverse” is about **settlement currency and P\&L shape**; “delivery vs perpetual” is about **expiry and how price is anchored** (basis vs funding).

## Delivery futures

### Basis and convergence

**Basis** is the gap between the **futures price** and the **underlying** (spot or index) price — roughly futures minus underlying (venues may phrase it as premium/discount).

Near **expiry**, well-functioning delivery or cash-settled contracts are pulled toward the underlying: **convergence**. If futures trade rich or cheap vs spot for too long, arbitrage (cash-and-carry style) and delivery or settlement rules squeeze that gap.

Other contract details (physical vs cash settle, tick size) vary by market. The **dated** nature and **basis → convergence** story is what separates delivery futures from perps.

## Perpetual futures

Perps never expire, so there is **no delivery date** to force convergence. Instead, venues use **funding** (and related price definitions) to keep the perpetual close to the underlying.

### Funding rate

**Funding** is a periodic payment **between longs and shorts**:

* If the perp trades **above** the target (rich), **longs typically pay shorts** — incentivize selling the perp / being short
* If the perp trades **below** the target (cheap), **shorts typically pay longs** — incentivize buying the perp / being long

Over time that tug-of-war keeps perpetual price near the asset without an expiry. Funding is **not** primarily an exchange fee; it is a **peer transfer** (venues still charge trading fees separately).

### Index price and mark price

| Price           | Role                                                                                                                                                                              |
| --------------- | --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- |
| **Index price** | Reference for the **underlying** — often a basket of spot (or related) prices across venues, so one thin book cannot alone define “true” value                                    |
| **Mark price**  | Fair value used for **unrealized P\&L and liquidations** — usually blends index with the contract market so a single wick on the last trade does not unfairly liquidate positions |
| **Last / mid**  | What you see trading on **this** book right now                                                                                                                                   |

When you hear “kept to the underlying,” think: **index** defines the target, **funding** nudges the perp toward it, **mark** protects liquidations from noise.

## Quick comparison

|                        | Spot                            | Delivery futures                  | Perpetual futures          |
| ---------------------- | ------------------------------- | --------------------------------- | -------------------------- |
| **Expiry**             | None                            | Yes                               | None                       |
| **Exposure**           | Own the asset                   | Dated derivative                  | Continuous derivative      |
| **Leverage**           | Usually limited / borrow        | Common                            | Common, often high         |
| **Long / short**       | Buy / sell (short needs borrow) | Native long & short               | Native long & short        |
| **Keeps price honest** | Spot supply/demand              | **Basis → convergence** at expiry | **Funding** + index / mark |

## In MarketLens

Venues MarketLens covers list **spot**, **linear** and **inverse** perps, and **delivery** contracts alongside each other. Multi-market views can mix those types — see [classic order flow](/classic-order-flow) and [L2 order book](/order-book).

See also: [Spot markets](/spot-markets), [Prediction markets](/prediction-markets).
